Risk Savvy

Gerd Gigerenzer argues that most people, including the experts they trust, are dangerously bad at understanding risk, and that the cure is better intuition rather than ever more complex analysis. Drawing on decades of research into how humans actually make decisions, he shows how misleading statistics distort medical screening, financial advice, and legal judgment, and how simple rules of thumb often produce better choices in an uncertain world than elaborate models do. The book offers practical methods for reading risk correctly, from understanding test results to spotting when a gut feeling deserves trust, building a case that statistical literacy and smart heuristics together make people more capable decision-makers.